18 January 2014

Subscription Details for IRFC, NHAI Tax Free Bonds and Muthoot, Manappuram, SREI as on Jan 17, 2014 @ 5.00 PM

Please find below Subscription Details for IRFC, NHAI Tax Free Bonds and Muthoot, Manappuram, SREI & Edelweiss Capital NCD.

IRFC Tax Free Subscription Details as on Jan 17, 2014 @  5.00 PM
Categories
Bucket Size (in Crs)
No. of Bonds Subscribed
Amount Subscribed (in Crs)
% Subscribed for Category
Unsubscribed Amount
Category I
866.3
                               28,73,000
287.30
33.16%
579.00
Category II
2598.9
                               54,17,827
541.78
20.85%
2057.12
Category III
1732.6
                               47,50,235
475.02
27.42%
1257.58
Category IV
3465.2
                               90,03,924
900.39
25.98%
2564.81
Total Issue Size (in Crs)
8663
                  2,20,44,986
2204.50
25.45%
6458.50

NHAI Tax Free Subscription Details as on Jan 17, 2014 @  5.00 PM
Categories
Bucket Size (in Crs)
No. of Bonds Subscribed
Amount Subscribed (in Crs)
% Subscribed for Category
Unsubscribed Amount
Category I
369.84
                               59,70,000
597.00
161.42%
0.00
Category II
1109.52
                            1,11,86,669
1118.67
100.82%
0.00
Category III
739.68
                               86,20,751
862.08
116.55%
0.00
Category IV
1479.36
                               96,82,049
968.20
65.45%
511.16
Total Issue Size (in Crs)
3698.40
                  3,54,59,469
3545.95
95.88%
152.45

Muthoot NCD Subscription Details as on Jan 17, 2014 @  5.00 PM
Categories
Bucket Size (in Crs)
No. of Bonds Subscribed
Amount Subscribed (in Crs.)
% Subscribed for Category
Unsubscribed Amount
Category I
25
                                               -  
0.00
0.00%
25.00
Category II
25
                                     37,125
3.71
14.85%
21.29
Category III
450
                               44,42,654
444.27
98.73%
5.73
Total Issue Size (in Crs)
500
                     44,79,779
447.98
89.60%
52.02

Manappuram NCD Subscription Details as on Jan 17, 2014 @  5.00 PM
Categories
Bucket Size (in Crs)
No. of Bonds Subscribed
Amount Subscribed (in Crs)
% Subscribed for Category
Unsubscribed Amount
Category I
20
                                               -  
0.00
0.00%
20.00
Category II
40
                                        1,080
0.11
0.27%
39.89
Category III
40
                                  2,79,067
27.91
69.77%
12.09
Category IV
100
                               19,96,535
199.65
199.65%
0.00
Total Issue Size (in Crs)
200
                     22,76,682
227.67
113.83%
0.00

SREI NCD Subscription Details as on Jan 17, 2014 @  5.00 PM
Categories
Bucket Size (in Crs)
No. of Bonds Subscribed
Amount Subscribed (in Crs.)
% Subscribed for Category
Unsubscribed Amount
Category I
20
                                     42,000
4.20
21.00%
15.80
Category II
20
                                        2,100
0.21
1.05%
19.79
Category III
60
                                  2,94,769
29.48
49.13%
30.52
Total Issue Size (in Crs)
100.00
                       3,38,869
33.89
33.89%
66.11

Thanks & Regards

Wabco India Short-term impact from M&H CV slowdown; Buy :: Anand Rathi

Wabco India
Short-term impact from M&H CV slowdown; Buy
Key takeaways
Industry slowdown to hit growth. We expect subdued, 8.1%, yoy revenue
growth for Wabco India (Wabco), to `2.4bn. Growth would be hit by the
ongoing slump in M&H CV sales (down ~25% yoy in 3Qe). Revenue growth
ahead would be buoyed into positive territory by more exports
(commencement of the plant at Mahindra World City), sales of spares and
software. Recovery in the M&H CV cycle is likely only in 2HFY15.
Restrained operating performance. We expect EBITDA margin to grow
15% (down 290bps yoy, up 180bps qoq) and EBITDA to dip 9.8%, yoy.
Profit could decline 12.8% yoy, to `245m, for the sixth successive quarter.
Prospects good. 2HFY14 should see Wabco’s performance stabilise,
although significant improvement is likely only in FY15. We are positive on
the company from a long-term perspective as it would be a key beneficiary of
the recovery in the CV cycle. Increased exports, potential regulatory changes
and good aftermarket potential add to the positives. Wabco Holdings, the
parent, seeks to make Wabco India an R&D hub for its global operations.
Our take. 2HFY14 should mark an improvement over the disappointing
past-12-month performance. From a long-term perspective, we are positive
on the company, as it would be a key beneficiary of the recovery in the CV
cycle in FY15, with mounting exports and good aftermarket potential adding
to the positives. Wabco Holdings, the parent, seeks to make Wabco an R&D
hub for its global operations. The possibility of implementing the mandatory
ABS fitment into M&H CVs is an additional positive. In the near term, the
ongoing slowdown in commercial vehicles and Wabco’s heavy dependence on
M&H CVs would weigh on its results. We maintain Buy. Risks. Aboveexpected CV slowdown, higher input costs, royalty increase.

‘There is vast untapped potential for the life insurance industry’ :: Business Line

The challenge is to reach out to the growing young working population to make them more secure about their future.PUNEET NANDA,ED, ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Private life insurance players have not had it easy in recent years with declining premium collections and the regulator tightening the rules governing this sector. But Puneet Nanda, Executive Director, ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited, who heads the largest private life insurance company in India, thinks that the worst is over and the regulatory changes will ensure that the road is smoother for investors in the futureExcerpts from an interview:
Why are premiums in the life insurance space going down? What is the way forward?
The flow of money into any financial product is largely governed by the household financial savings rate. Over the last few years, these savings have seen a decline.
During the period following the opening up of the life insurance industry, household savings rate was around 22-23 per cent of GDP; almost equally divided between physical and financial savings.
Over the last two-three years, despite household savings remaining the same, financial savings have come down. The RBI data, last year, revealed that it had fallen to 8 per cent from around 11 per cent earlier. Slowdown in the economy and other macro-economic factors affected the allocation of investments towards financial services products. Volatility in capital markets is another factor impacting investment decisions of consumers.
There have also been various regulatory changes which required life insurers to recalibrate their business models. This may be another reason why flow towards insurance has not been that great. The first half of this year has started to see increased allocation of funds towards life insurance. There is a definite change in the way life insurance is being looked at by consumers. Products now offer a much better proposition and there’s a lot that the new regulations have done to ensure that maximum benefit is provided to the customers.
What will be your strategy to grow volumes?
Our strategy has always been that of offering need-based life insurance solutions that meet customer requirements.
That’s not all, we have endeavoured to create products that are comparable with other financial savings instruments.
These products, supported with good customer service along with strong technology-driven solutions, have made us the preferred choice when it comes to life insurance. Our technology solutions have empowered customers, facilitating the making of informed decisions and providing a smooth buying experience.
 When the industry opened up, the penetration of life insurance as a percentage of GDP was less than 2 per cent. With changes in the economic environment, there have been fluctuations. The penetration for FY2013 stood at around 3 per cent.
This implies that there is vast untapped potential for the life insurance industry.
India has a huge working population that is growing; the challenge here is to reach out to this young working population to enable them to secure their future.
The regulator is getting stricter with the norms governing agents and data show that agents are leaving. How is the industry going to look at distribution from now on?
Traditionally, the life insurance business in our country has been based on an agency-led model. With the entry of private players, innovation is the order of the day in the distribution channel too.
Today, we have a multi-channel distribution network and thanks to technology, buying life insurance products has become a very simple and easy process. A customer can choose between buying from an agent, a bank or online. What’s important is the experience and the time spent in the process — the objective is to enable customers to make an informed decision.
We have managed to maintain a fair balance. In initial years, about 50 per cent of the business came through the agency channel, about 30 to 40 per cent from the bank channel and about 10 per cent from other channels.  
This has seen some change in the last three years. Currently, about 50 per cent comes from bancassurance, 30 per cent from the agency channel and the rest from other channels. 
What are your thoughts on increasing competition in the industry and many players considering exit?
Different companies have different objectives and strategies. There are 24 life insurance companies today. Some may want to exit, at the same time, there could be others lining up for fresh licenses. Over time, it is likely to become a more segmented market. While there may be a few national players of scale, depending on their strategies, some companies may prefer to become niche players based on customer segments, geographies or products. For instance, now we already have pure health insurance companies.
It is a natural evolution. Competition is good as it improves the proposition for the customer and makes the industry more efficient.
Life insurance is a difficult market since it has long-gestation products and players need to have the right mindset.
While we have seen joint venture partners of some players exit, this may have been primarily due to their individual compulsions or views at international level.
Globally, India is viewed positively from a long-term perspective due to its growing middle-class and increasing income levels. However, since the life insurance industry is capital-intensive players should have sufficient funds to sustain over the long term.
We find insurers misleading consumers about returns from their products in the advertisements they give. What is your take on this?
The regulator has given clear guidance on advertising in any medium on what you can say and what you cannot say. All advertisements have to be filed with the regulator.
While it may be difficult to have complete standardisation in terms of the information shared about returns, let us remember that when a person buys a traditional plan, he/she buys it keeping in mind a long-term goal with corresponding financial obligation.

So, the objective of the advertisements is to help consumers realise how these plans can enable them to get closer to their goals.

Playing on debt :: AMANDEEP CHOPRA- Head of Fixed Income, UTI MF in Business Line

Mind the 4Ps: Investment Philosophy, Products, Portfolios and Performance.
Over the last few years, with equities unable to carry on with their dream run, investors turned to other asset classes, such as debt and gold, the latter as a hedge against inflation, in search of returns.
Investors who invested in debt products, especially the ones who entered into duration products in mutual funds or directly into debentures and bonds, have benefited from the dovish policy stance adopted by the RBI from October 2011 to May 2013 (The repo rate fell from over 8 to 7.25 per cent), with returns on many bonds touching double digits.
Rough ride

After June 2013, it has been a rough ride for the investors as they have seen unprecedented volatility which is uncharacteristic of the fixed income markets, due to the turn in global events.
The RBI, in a bid to curtail volatility in the currency markets, initiated unprecedented liquidity tightening measures during this period. This resulted in debt markets turning volatile with yields spiking up across maturities.
The shorter end of the yield curve saw yields going up 300 to 400 basis points, handing down temporary mark-to-market losses and denting the perception of fixed income markets being a source of stable returns.
Tight measures by RBI

Over the last few months, the RBI has taken steps to cautiously unwind some of the exceptional tightening measures undertaken in July 2013. With the macro environment improving, the market expects the central bank to hike rate once more this financial year -- this time by 25 bps in the repo rate.
We believe that the RBI is done with its rate hikes at the moment and will look to pause with an eye on the overall macro picture, including the US Fed stance on tapering and the resolution of US debt ceiling limit by February 2014.
So, before you jump in and invest your hard earned money into debt products, you need to keep a few things in mind. Here’s a short list.
Expenses

A debt security, by nature, generally accrues a coupon on the capital invested as the primary source of return for the investor. Therefore, it is important that one knows the expenses being charged on the product as a higher expense would eat into the potential returns. You also need to watch out for the credit rating of the product or the underlying instruments it invests in.
Higher returns would mean the product probably has higher exposure to lower-rated instruments.
Similarly, a higher rating of the product or underlying instruments mean a lower probability of default or downgrade and consequently lower return from the investment.
Taxes

Most bond offers, except tax-free bonds, pay tax at the slab rate on interest earned.
The advantage of debt mutual funds is that they are tax-efficient investment vehicles.
An investor can look to lower his tax payout by claiming indexation benefit for investments made for more than one year in debt mutual funds.
Be it fixed deposits, bonds, debentures or debt mutual funds (such as fixed maturity plans; lower duration such as ultra short term funds and short term category of funds) the market continues to offer investors the opportunity to gain from elevated returns across maturities despite the volatility shown over the last few months.
So invest in debt funds based on the 4Ps: Investment Philosophy, Products, Portfolios and Performance.
(The author is Head of Fixed Income, UTI MF)

NRB Bearings Tough domestic market, export-led growth; Buy :: Anand Rathi

NRB Bearings
Tough domestic market, export-led growth; Buy
Key takeaways
Domestic sales continue to slow down, exports expected to grow. We
expect NRB Bearings’ sales to have risen 6% yoy, to `1.5bn, despite a decline
in offtake in the domestic auto segment (OEM clients). Exports would have
grown yoy at a healthy pace on account of the company’s export-focused
strategy. Sluggish growth in the domestic auto sector, its mainstay, would
have kept the yoy margin slightly down.
Margin set to decline 129bps. The EBITDA margin is expected to decline
129bps yoy, chiefly due to lower fixed-cost absorption. Ahead, with an
expected rise in volumes of high-margin exports, the margin is expected to
have expanded to over 17%. The costs involved in exports a present are high.
The decline in the domestic business was somewhat counter-balanced by
more exports. The long-term focus is now on increasing export revenue. In
FY14 exports are anticipated to have clocked `2bn (FY13: `1.5bn). From
3QFY13 NRB Industrial Bearings has been hived off into a separate
company.
Short-term outlook weak; exports, the silver lining. While revenue and
EBITDA growth continues in 3QFY14, higher revenue from fresh export
clients should pick up, and the domestic business, which has bottomed out,
start to inch up. Economic growth is expected to improve in the next few
quarters, auguring well for the company. Besides, its exports business
continues to gain size. This could improve margins and reduce working
capital required. For 3QFY14 we expect PAT to decline 16.5% yoy, to
`123m.
Our take. With brightening prospects for the economy and NRB too
expected to look up, we maintain a Buy. The stock trades at 7x one-yearforward EPS. Our revised target is based on 9x FY15e EPS. Risks: Keener
competition, higher input costs

SKF India Tough demand environment; good long-term bet; Hold :: Anand Rathi

SKF India
Tough demand environment; good long-term bet; Hold
Key takeaways
4QCY13 sales to grow 5%. We expect SKF India’s 4Q revenues to be
`5.4bn (up just 5% yoy). This growth would have come on last year’s lower
base. Curtailed demand continues in both its key target markets, industrials
and automotives. We expect an improvement in revenue from exports and
from the auto division. Amidst these adversities, the company is focusing on
tightening its working-capital requirement. We had earlier expected demand
to pick up in 2HCY13 but now believe that demand will pick up in CY14.
Margins expected to improve 70bps yoy. In the past few quarters, margin
pressures have arisen due to slowing revenue growth and the company’s
inability to pass on higher costs. With facilities underutilised, the margin will
now be contained, primarily due to lower fixed-cost absorption. We expect
the 4Q EBIDTA margin to come at 9.2%, 70bps higher yoy. This
improvement is on account of lower raw-material costs.
Profit expected to grow 12.5%. We expect profit to grow 12.5% yoy, to
`362m, down 22% qoq. Other income is expected to be `170m, 13% higher
than what it was in 4QCY12.
Tightening working capital. In the tough situation today, the company is
focusing on tightening working capital required. It has been generating strong
operating cash-flows over the years. We expect revenue and profit CAGRs
over CY12-14 of 9% each.
Our take. A slowdown is evident in the industrial and automobile segments.
A debt-free company (`3bn in cash at end-CY12), it has generated strong
operating cash-flows over the years. We value the stock at a one-year forwardPE of 15x CY14 (on par with its past two-year average), at a target of `641.
With no short-term trigger, the long-term story is unharmed. Risks.
Slowdown in industrial activity, auto sales; commodity price fluctuations and
increase in imports.