23 October 2012

Magma Fincorp - Q2FY13 Result Update - Centrum


Q2FY13 Result Update
Magma Fincorp
Buy
Target Price: Rs101
CMP: Rs66          
Upside: 53%
Spreads improve
Magma’s Q2FY13 numbers reflect continued robustness in disbursement growth (even as individual industries report moderation) driven by high yield segments and Cars & UV segment. However, the rising share of high yield loans (29% now) along with seasonality pushed the collection efficiency down to 98.1% (though still quite healthy) and in line write offs inched up to 0.48%. New products (housing, gold and general insurance) should bring in further diversification and improve profitability over the medium term. We retain Buy rating on attractive valuations and price target of Rs101.

Petronet LNG - “Strong trading margins boosts earnings”::LKP


Strong trading margins boosts earnings
PLNG’s Q2FY13 net profit of Rs3.1bn was significantly higher than our estimate of Rs2.7bn on account of high trading margins (implied) of Rs45.8/mmbtu (our estimate: Rs33/mmbtu) and increase in spot volumes. Gas volumes witnessed a sequential growth of 6.2% to 135tbtu (yoy -0.1%) driven by lower price of LNG which led to healthy increase in demand from consuming sectors and resumption of power and fertiliser plants which were shutdown for annual maintenance in the previous quarter. Operating profit of Rs5.2bn was higher than our estimate of Rs4.6bn. Operating margin for the quarter of 6.9% (yoy -149bps qoq +37bps) was higher than our estimate of 6.5%. We have increased our earnings estimate for FY13e by 11.7% considering the high trading margins the company has been able to earn in H1FY13. We maintain our BUY rating on PLNG with a revised price target of Rs187. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 11.2x and 6.5x FY14e EPS and EBITDA respectively.
Actual v/s Estimates
Y/E, Mar (Rs. m)
Q2FY13
Q1FY13
qoq (%)
Q2FY12
yoy (%)
LKP Estimates
Deviation (%/bps)
Revenue
75,486
70,304
7.4%
53,669
40.7%
71,116
6.1%
EBITDA
5,184
4,571
13.4%
4,484
15.6%
4,624
12.1%
EBITDA (%)
6.9%
6.5%
37 bps
8.4%
-149 bps
6.5%
37 bps
PAT
3,148
2,708
16.2%
2,603
20.9%
2,683
17.3%


Fund Talk: It is wrong to assume SIPs protect principal :: Business Line


SIPs only ensure that too much of your money is not invested into stocks at one go.

I’m 29 years old and have just started investing in mutual funds. Currently, I’m investing Rs 5,000 monthly in mutual funds — Rs 3,000 in Fidelity Tax Advantage Fund and Rs 2,000 in Fidelity Equity Fund through systematic investment plans (SIPs). I’m hoping to add another Rs 5,000 per month and have chosen HDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund and ICICI Pru Focussed Bluechip Fund. I would like to build a corpus of Rs 25 lakh in seven years. I’ll also need cash of around Rs 5 lakh in three years, and hence I’ve included debt fund in my portfolio.

My questions are:

In order to reach my goal of Rs 25 lakh, will the funds chosen help? And how much should I be investing monthly?

Is a debt fund a good instrument to invest in for a short-term goal of three years?

Does the SIP route safeguard my principal? Or is it false to believe that SIPs are always safe?

Please advise.

Thilak

Housing finance companies on a strong footing :: Business Line


HZL - Q2FY13 Result Update - Centrum

Q2FY13 Result Update
Hindustan Zinc Ltd

Buy
Target Price: Rs159
CMP: Rs135
Upside: 17.7%
Higher mining output to drive growth ahead
Hindustan Zinc’s (HZL) Q2FY13 PAT was in line with our expectations at ~Rs15.4bn and was aided by lower tax rate of 15% and higher other income of Rs5.4bn (up by ~40% YoY). EBITDA stood at ~Rs14.4bn with lower margin of 51.1%, down by 160bps QoQ mainly on account of lower mining output, higher costs and depressed LME realizations. The company maintained its guidance on increased mine output in H2FY13E with volume growth in lead and silver divisions and strongly asserted flat cost of production (COP) for FY13E, implying significantly lower COP in H2FY13E. We have lowered our total zinc & lead volume estimates for FY13E/14E by 4.5%/3.2%. We revise upwards our EV/EBITDA valuation multiple for FY14E to 6x and revise our target upwards to Rs159. Maintain Buy.

SGX Nifty : 5,716.00 -7.00; Markets down

SGX Nifty : 5,716.00 -7.00;
8:50 AM India time
Oct 23, 2012
Markets to open down

What to check before investing in new fund offerings :: Business Line

Here is food for thought. What factors should you consider when you invest in a new fund offering (NFO)? We ask this question because many of you continue to use the price rule — investing in a new fund because the net asset value (NAV) is Rs 10 a unit against comparable existing funds that may have higher NAV. In this article, we discuss whether you should invest in an NFO and, if so, the factors that you should consider.

What to keep in mind while shopping online:: Business Line

Choose a portal with a proven track record in delivering quality goods on time and more payment options.

Planning to gift your friend a smart phone for her birthday? No sweat, just order it online! Thanks to e-commerce, many Indian consumers are shopping online. This is not restricted to just books or electronic gadgets. Shopping portals have expanded their product basket to offer a range of products from apparel to air-conditioners.



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Why do customers fancy online shopping? The reasons are obvious. The foremost one is convenience. It saves you the time you would otherwise have to spend driving down to a store located say 5 km away from your home. Second, you have more options to choose from. You can compare the prices offered at different portals before firming up your purchase decision. In many cases, online stores offer you the same product at a more competitive price. For instance, if you are looking at buying a Samsung chat 222 mobile phone, online stores offer you the product for prices starting from Rs 2,800, while the same model is sold for Rs 3,150 at leading retail stores.

There are also exclusive portals which specialise in select products. Myntra for instance specialises in apparel and accessories, Ferns N Petals in flowers and gifts. But, there are a few aspects that you may have look into while buying goods online. Never buy from a portal which you or any of your friends or acquaintances have never tried out. Look for one with a proven track record in delivering quality goods on time. Remember in online shopping you have no face-to-face interaction with the company selling you the goods.

CASH IS BEST

Before you browse through the merchandise, check out the payment options. The more payment options the portal offers, the better. Most portals accept payments made using debit card, credit card and Internet banking and also cash-on-delivery option.

For small-ticket items, the cash-on-delivery option is the best. That way, the retailer bears the risk of the item going ‘out of stock’ or not being shipped on time. Some portals also allow you to swipe your credit card on delivery. That gets you best of both the worlds — credit on your purchase and assurance about the product reaching you.

This option may not be available for high-value goods such as refrigerators, air-conditioners, where most portals insist on payment at the time of placing the order. In such cases, you should ensure payment through a secured payment gateway. For specific products, select portals also offer zero per cent EMI option. For instance, Flipkart offers 3- and 6-month zero per cent EMI plan for customers using HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Citi Bank cards. You can also exchange your e-gift coupon for the goods you want to purchase online.

CANCELLATION

Where you are making full payment in advance, it is imperative to understand the exchange/cancellation policies of the portal. Most portals do not allow you to cancel the order once the product has been shipped. In case you want to cancel the order after the product has been shipped you may have to call the respective customer support for assistance.

Before going ahead with the purchase, you should also understand the exchange/return policy of the portal. Most of them guarantee delivery with 5 to 7 working days, provided the product is in stock. If the delivery is delayed beyond the promised date, you have a right to return the product.

What if the product you bought is defective or damaged? To seek redressal, you need to notify the portal within the mandated time. This time window may differ from portal to portal and may also vary with the product. Myntra, for instance, provides a 30-day exchange window for all apparel and accessories except innerwear, cosmetics, socks, deodorants and perfumes. But Home Shop 18 requires you to notify them of defects within 48 hours from the time of delivery. Not just that, you should not have used the product.

Also, the product should be returned in its original packaging along with the original price tags, labels and invoices. So don’t rip off the packaging as soon you lay your hands on the product!

If the above conditions are met, then the refund will be processed within 7 working days. The refund will be made through the mode by which the payment was made. Of course, prevention is better than cure. So, before you add anything to your shopping cart, it is best to check out user reviews and ratings on every product you buy. Now, that’s something you can’t do when you buy stuff in your neighbourhood shopping mall.