12 March 2012

IIP - A non-durable spike ::Edelweiss, PDF link

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IIP grew sharply by 6.8% YoY in January against a weak, but upwardly revised 2.5% in December thanks to an unusual spurt in consumer non-durables (up ~42% YoY). Ex-non-durables, IIP contracted 0.8%. Such spikes in IIP (and its components) make it totally difficult to capture the underlying trend in the industrial activity. We feel that MoM 3MMA seasonally adjusted data does a better job in capturing the trend. On this basis, it seems that the industrial activity has improved in Nov-Jan period compared to the extremely weak phase of Jun-Oct 2011. This is consistent with the improvement in PMI data. Nonetheless, it is too early to comment on the nature of the surge as much will depend on the policy action by the government in the forthcoming budget (and otherwise) and also the pace of monetary easing throughout the coming year.
       
       
       

Azim Premji Trust to sell up to 35 mn shares in Wipro via stock market auction (ET)

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A trust controlled by Wipro's billionaire founder Azim Premji plans to sell up to 35 million shares or around a 1.4 percent stake in the software company Wipro on the stock market via a new auction process to fund education projects.

Premji and his family own about 79 percent of country's third-largest software exporter through various units that include the Azim Premji Trust, which will sell the shares.

The stake of about 35 million shares is valued at about 15.32 billion rupees ($306 million) based on its Monday market closing price of 437.75 rupees. The number of shares to be sold by Wipro's founder group represents about 1.4 percent of the company's total shares.

Proceeds from the share sale will be used to finance the education activities of the Azim Premji Foundation, a non-profit unit set up by the founder to improve the quality of education in the country, a company statement said.

Wipro, which is also listed in New York, is India's 11th most valuable company with a market capitalisation of more than $21 billion.

In January, India's market regulator gave permission to shareholders of the country's top 100 companies by market value to raise funds by auctioning their stakes via stock exchanges.

As part of the auction process, Wipro said a floor price for the bidding would be given to the stock exchange in a sealed envelope before the opening of the sale on Wednesday.

The stock exchange will consider the bids after the closure of the auction and any bid below a floor price would not be considered for allocation, the company statement said.

Citigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS and Credit Suisse have been hired by Wipro as brokers for the share auction process, it said.

Wipro, which develops software applications, integrates IT systems and manages call centres, is part of India's export-driven $76 billion software services industry.

Premji, who is the chairman of Wipro, quit his studies at Stanford to take over his father's ailing vegetable oil business in the mid-1960s. He diversified the oil business into hydraulic cylinders in the 1970s and software services in 1980.

2012 to be one of the best years for Indian equities: Centrum Wealth Management (ET)

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In an interview with ET Now, G Chokkalingam, Executive Director & Chief Investment Officer, Centrum Wealth Management, talks about the budget and RBI's upcoming credit policy. Excerpts:

ET Now: With the IIP data coming in where it is at about 6.8% and with the RBI already cutting CRR by 75 bps, you think the credit policy later this week is going to be largely a non-event on the RBI's unlikely to cut policy rates?

G Chokkalingam: I firmly believe that RBI is likely to cut repo rate at least by 25 bps. The fact is that you should not give too much importance to monthly IIP data for simple reason that any serious student of economics would understand that in this country if you need to understand the deceleration or acceleration in the industrial economy, you only to look for at least one or two quarter data, not just one or two month data. In India, fluctuations in IIP number are very common and if you look at even the Jan IIP number, largely in the last three-four years, except the post Lehman problem the Jan number has been quite high. Secondly, what is most important is you have to look at the cumulative figure to arrive at the policy judgment.

If you look at April to January, the IIP cumulative growth is around 4% as against 8.3% last year. So the deceleration is still there. One should not give too much importance to the 6.8% growth in January. Also you have to understand the fact that the food credit growth has come down to 15.3% which was quite bad as compared to what it was post Lehman. Post Lehman also we had above 17% growth and inflation is also going down and food production is also expected to be record level. So, considering all these developments, I am very confident that RBI would cut down the repo rate by another 25 bps, that would give another support to the domestic equity markets.

ET Now: What is it that you are expecting from the budget this time and does it seem like the market is going in with least expectations and the fact that it is going to be more a bent towards a populist budget rather than a reformist one?

G Chokkalingam: I do not agree that this budget would be a populist one for simple reason that the present government has got one more budget to do that because the election would be in early 2014 and the politicians are good at strategies and it is too early to come out with any reform measures because people will forget at the time of election. So, next budget can be used to push all the welfare schemes. Probably that would be the time to go underweight on Indian equities and I firmly believe based on this logic, this budget is going to be more reform-oriented because there has been so much of criticism of the government and the government according to me does not have option.

They ought to implement certain measures. I expect two kinds of measures. One, a boost to the infrastructure outlay because the capex is coming down of late and two, the real commitment on reform measures and also implementation of couple of reforms measures like multibrand FDI and giving go ahead for FDI in aviation etc. So, I feel both the budget as well as the monetary policy would act as a further trigger for the Indian equities. I continue to maintain my view that the calendar year 2012 would be one of the best years for the Indian equities.

ET Now: Also, talk about some sectors that could be impacted by this budget auto in particular, it does look pretty likely that the government may impose higher excise on diesel vehicles to make up for the impact of the subsidised fuel. How would you play a stock like Tata Motors or M&M in the run after the budget?

G Chokkalingam: M&M might come under pressure as you said the government is likely to increase the duty on diesel cars and also we saw that the tractor sales are impacted in the short term. In the short term it might come under pressure. So one could stay away from the counter for at least for two weeks and see the impact of budget and then one can re-enter because in the long term the stock would never fail to create wealth for the investors.

In other auto companies, the issue is that Honda Motors is growing very fast. So one has to understand who are competitors who are impacted by the fast growth taking place in Honda Motors and also some of the auto stocks I have already run up 30%-40% in the last two-three months. So, it is time to be a little cautious in the short term but definitely the improvement in the GDP growth and also the reversal of interest rate cycle would help auto sectors. One can wait for the budget or some correction to take place in some of the counters before accumulating aggressively.

ET Now: What do you think the Thursday credit policy would entail, would it just be a future trajectory and RBI commentary on how the outlook of rate of interest would be from here onwards and leave it status quo when it comes to any interest rate move?

G Chokkalingam: Two facts according to media. In fact, the majority of the members of the RBI panel were in favour of cutting down interest, but unfortunately it did not happen. The second one has to understand the fact that in India all the double digit inflation rates were caused by structural issues like draught, war or rupee depreciating by more than 30% or accommodation of three factors. We are not facing any of these problems and also do not forget the fact that the food grain production is going to be at another record level and industry slowdown is real and inflation rate is now below 7% and what matters to the economist and analyst and also to RBI is not the absolute price changes.

In fact, our market was not doing well when oil price was at $9. It hit the peak only when oil price crossed around $125. So what I am trying to say is that the base effect is also going to make a lot of difference. If you look at last year, most of the time we had most close to double digit inflation. So in the current year it is most unlikely unless oil price spikes another 10%-20% or monsoon fails, you will see the again inflation rate spiking. Therefore, I definitely expect not just a statement, some real action on cutting down the repo rate at least by 20 bps. In case if that does not happen as you said there could be a lot of statement, but I still stick to my view that there would be a rate cut.

BSE, Bulk deals, 12/3/2012

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Deal DateScrip CodeCompanyClient NameDeal Type *QuantityPrice **
12/3/2012533412Aanjaneya LifecareCRESTA FUND LTDS120000520.02
12/3/2012531560Aroma EnterprisesURVASHIBEN AJITBHAI PATELB450008.57
12/3/2012531560Aroma EnterprisesSNEHAL AJITBHAI PATELB450008.57
12/3/2012531560Aroma EnterprisesSAPAN HARISHBHAI PATELB470008.57
12/3/2012531560Aroma EnterprisesPAURIK AJITBHAI PATELB450008.57
12/3/2012531560Aroma EnterprisesMEETA SNEHAL PATEL

Pre-budget Analysis : Pre-budget February 2012 ::Kotak Sec

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Pre-budget Analysis : 
Pre-budget February 2012
¾  The Finance Minister will present the FY2012-13 budget in the backdrop of a sharp rise in the fiscal deficit for 2011-12. Interest rates have risen sharply in FY12 and budget provisions are expected to largely determine future monetary actions, we opine. Thus, the FM's priority in the 2012-13 budget will be fiscal rectitude, we believe.
¾  Overall, we believe that, the budget will aim to provide an investment - led supply push to growth as against a consumption - led demand pull (higher subsidies, etc). Lower deficit and borrowings (and interest rates) post tax increases will also encourage investments. The resultant easing of supply constraints will also reduce the pressure on inflation. 
¾  We believe that, the budget may have: Positive implications for Banking, NBFCs, Capital Goods, Cement, Construction, Logistics, Media, Oil & Gas, Power, Shipping sectors; Negative implications for Automobile sector and Neutral for sectors like Aviation, FMCG, Hotels, Information Technology, Metals & Mining,  Real Estate, Telecom.

12/3/12: Categories Turnover (BSE) (Rs. crore) Clients NRI Proprietary Trade Data

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Categories Turnover (BSE)

(Rs. crore)
ClientsNRIProprietary
Trade DateBuySalesNetBuySalesNetBuySalesNet
12/3/121,560.461,604.38-43.930.940.840.09510.24487.0923.15
9/3/122,227.452,384.40-156.952.780.961.82708.57666.4242.16
7/3/121,717.021,687.7629.264.460.903.56640.77611.3829.39
Mar , 1213,643.4313,648.07-4.6415.586.728.864,815.234,781.8733.36
Since 1/1/1292,716.4894,437.02-1,720.5459.3456.612.7333,924.1432,844.751,079.39

Technical Report : 12.03.2012 :: Angel Broking PDF link

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Technical Report



:: ShareKhan PDF link

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Fertilisers     
Non urea fertilisers show improvement in consumption 
Key points
  • Boost in consumption of non urea fertilisers: In February 2012, the aggregate sales of domestically produced fertilisers (by 15 leading manufacturers) declined by 4% as compared to that in the same period of the previous year. On the other hand, imports spiked up significantly during the month mainly due to the effect of a low base of last year. Import of diammonium phosphate (DAP), complex fertilisers and urea increased by 206%, 1562% and 30% respectively. Overall the consumption of fertilisers in the month of February 2012 has seen a 16% increase on a year-on-year (Y-o-Y) basis.

Derivatives Report : 12.03.2012 :: Angel Broking PDF link

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Derivatives Report



12/3/12: FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE) (Rs. crore)

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FII & DII Turnover (BSE + NSE)
(Rs. crore)
FIIDII
Trade DateBuySalesNetBuySalesNet
12/3/124,375.763,077.121,298.641,121.41918.09203.32

Market Summary : 12.03.2012 :: Angel Broking PDF link

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Market Summary



Market Outlook : 12.03.2012 :: Angel Broking PDF link

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Market Outlook



NSE, Bulk deals, 12-Mar-2012

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DateSymbolSecurity NameClient NameBuy / SellQuantity TradedTrade Price /
Wght. Avg.
Price
Remarks
12-Mar-2012APOLLOHOSPApollo Hospitals LtdAPAX MAURITIUS FDI ONE LIMITEDSELL140,94,238606.60-
12-Mar-2012APOLLOHOSPApollo Hospitals LtdAPAX MAURITIUS FII LIMITEDSELL29,47,888606.60-
12-Mar-2012APOLLOHOSPApollo Hospitals LtdHSTN ACQUISITION (FII) LTDBUY35,95,469606.60-
12-Mar-2012APOLLOHOSPApollo Hospitals LtdHSTN ACQUISITION (FII) LTDBUY134,46,657606.60-
12-Mar-2012BEPLBhansali Eng. Polymers LtMANTU HOUSING PROJECTS LTD.BUY9,01,24022.52-
12-Mar-2012ELFORGEEL Forge LimitedCSA HOLDINGS PVT LTDBUY95,0008.90-
12-Mar-2012ELFORGEEL Forge LimitedKANNAN VISHWANATHSELL95,0008.90-
12-Mar-2012ESABINDIAEsab India Ltd.HDFC M.F.SELL89,563536.11-
12-Mar-2012HATHWAYHathway Cable & DatacomASIAN CABLE SYSTEMS PRIVATE LIMITEDSELL247,15,500145.01-
12-Mar-2012HATHWAYHathway Cable & DatacomMACQUARIE BANK LIMITEDBUY105,56,644145.00-
12-Mar-2012HATHWAYHathway Cable & DatacomPROVIDENCE EQUITY ADVISORS MAURITIUS LIMITEDBUY141,43,552145.00-
12-Mar-2012MCXMulti Commodity ExchangeICICI EMERGING SECTORS FUNDSELL2,58,3451226.49-
12-Mar-2012NEHAINTNeha International LtdSAJJAD A QADIRSELL92,35155.80-
12-Mar-2012RADICORadico Khaitan LimitedMORGAN STANLEY ASIA SINGAPORE PTEBUY18,49,000121.00-
12-Mar-2012RADICORadico Khaitan LimitedVENUS INFOSOFT PRIVATE LIMITEDSELL8,16,500121.00-
12-Mar-2012TEXMACOLTDTexmaco LimitedBAKLIWAL FINCOM PVT LTDSELL7,16,38229.99-
12-Mar-2012TEXMACOLTDTexmaco LimitedJ. V. S. SECURITIES PVT. LTD.BUY10,00,00029.99-
12-Mar-2012VIKASGLOBVikas GlobalOne LtdALANKIT FINSEC LTDSELL60,00065.33-
12-Mar-2012VIKASGLOBVikas GlobalOne LtdSAGAR RATNA HOTELS PRIVATE LIMITEDBUY1,10065.50-
12-Mar-2012VIKASGLOBVikas GlobalOne LtdSAGAR RATNA HOTELS PRIVATE LIMITEDSELL92,29465.32-
12-Mar-2012YESBANKYes Bank LimitedKHAZANAH NASIONAL BERHADSELL146,70,000362.09-

Yields in tight range with upward bias; Liquidity stress re-emerges ::Edelweiss

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Yields in tight range with upward bias; Liquidity stress re-emerges
Gilts saw subdued activity today as aggressive positions were avoided, a trend which
should continue till the events of next week. Yields while broadly anchored to a tight
range of 2bps had an upward bias throughout as the dominant mood is that of
cautiousness. The only noteworthy cue today was the LAF window borrowing regaining
momentum and now back above the INR 1tn mark at INR 1.26tn.
The 10-Y G-Sec yields stayed higher than yesterday’s close for the entire session, hitting
an intra-day high of 8.25% before closing at 8.24% vs previous close of 8.23%.
The OIS segment was comparatively more active today and showed marked movement,
drawing on yesterday’s negatives cues of state elections and auctions. The strong
overnight sell-off in global equities was unable to create receiving interest in India OIS
swaps and they headed higher by 3-5 bps with the tail end showing greater movement.
The 1Y OIS traded at 8.15-8.19% vs 8.11-8.14% while the 5-Y swap was at 7.41-7.45% vs
7.34-7.41%.
Non-SLR Market
UCO Bank placed 3M CD worth INR 6bn @11.17%. OBC placed 1Y CD worth INR 3.85bn @
10.74%. BOI placed 3M CD worth INR 16bn @ 11.155%.
Money Market
2-day call market borrowing volumes were above INR 200bn as the liquidity stress reemerged,
however rates stayed at the previous day’s WAR of 8.88%. Deals were also struck
at the higher end at 9% towards the end.

AXIS BANK Retagging retail ensures multi‐faceted growth ::Edelweiss

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We recently met Axis Bank’s Head, Consumer Lending & Payments, to
understand its strategies. The bank has renewed its focus on the retail
segment, following a stagnant FY09‐11. Consequently, proportion of
retail advances are up from 19% to 22% over 9mFY12. The market is also
abuzz with competition rising from Axis Bank, especially in the home loan
segment. We believe, the bank’s retail focus is a step in the right
direction given the healthy 42% CASA ratio. Also, it will lend diversity to
its portfolio which is currently dominated by corporate lending.
Management expects share of retail advances to rise to 30% by FY16 with
a reduced home loans proportion from the current 75% to ~65% in favour
of CVs, cars and personal loans. Key focus is on risk management,
whereby the bank is continuously investing in statistical underwriting
models and regular monitoring. We reiterate our ‘BUY’ and top pick call.

LIC HOUSING FINANCE- Near term slip, medium term fillip ::Edelweiss

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We met the LIC Housing Finance (LICHFL) management for its view on
NHB’s clarification on the uniformity in lending rates circular. Since
clarification makes uniformity mandatory for fresh disbursements (post
October 19, 2011) and does not apply to special schemes, the
management is awaiting the clarification for existing borrowers which is
still under examination by NHB. We also wanted to understand if the
company is on course to achieve its aggressive Q4FY12 guidance on
margins (3%) and corporate developers disbursements (INR10bn).
LICHFL’s NIMs are likely to settle much lower than the guided range due
to rise in wholesale rate in Q4FY12 plus slower build up of high yielding
corporate developer loan book. We maintain ‘HOLD’ with TP of INR275.

MEDIA Company Overview: Pinc

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Eros
􀁺 Dependence on theatrical business is reducing even though it commands 30% CAGR
growth
􀁺 They have adapted to the Studio model followed by Disney and Warner
􀁺 They enter into exclusive licensing contracts for selling satellite rights to broadcasters
and most of the rights are sold even before the release of the movie.
􀁺 The company follows a portfolio approach wherein they do a huge bouquet of films
across genres, ~70-75 movies helping them de-risk their portfolio.
􀁺 They expect to do more than 75 movies a year in the coming years of which 15%
would be bollywood and rest regional. They target to do 8-10 high budget movies
yielding high margins, with 2 being self production.
Hathway Cable
􀁺 The company expects to roll out 1.2mn boxes in FY13. It currently has an inventory of
0.64mn boxes.
􀁺 For Phase I and II, the company will incur a capex of ~Rs6bn.
􀁺 Post some debt raising, its current Debt:Equity of 0.3 may rise to 0.5 by June, 2012.
􀁺 Hathway has no plans for raising equity in the near term, however if an interesting
acquisition of a cable operator comes up, they may consider.
􀁺 The company has a contract with Intelenet to set up call centres in Mumbai for its
broadband services, which if works out well, it will extend for its cable services as well.
INCableNet (Hinduja Ventures)
􀁺 The JVs contribute 10% of the subscription revenues for the company, balance is
contributed through direct points.
􀁺 The company expects to digitise ~2.5mn customers in Phase I, of which 0.5mn are
already digitised.
􀁺 60% of their revenue is contributed by carriage fee which may reduce to 20-30% post
digitisation.
􀁺 In a digitized scenario, the basic tier price would be Rs150 including only FTA channels.
Revenue received for FTA channels through direct points will solely be owned by the
company and not paid to the broadcaster. Will receive 20% of FTA revenues from JVs.
􀁺 The company expects an ARPU of ~Rs200 in Mumbai and Delhi in Phase I.
􀁺 INCableNet plans to reach 0.2mn broadband subscribers by 2014 from the current
40,000 broadband homes.


Balaji Telefilms
􀁺 The company is not into acquisition model for movies because of the cost and risk
associated. They work on a co-production model where the creative risk is shared but
the financial risk remains with Balaji.
􀁺 The company has 4-6 movies lined up for 2012.
􀁺 Their content business continues to make losses due to large volumes.
􀁺 The business has high operating leverage depending on volumes.
DB Corp
􀁺 Highest ad growth market for the company is MP followed by Rajasthan.
􀁺 Chhattisgarh is expected to see 17 new power projects leading to increase in advertising
through Print.
􀁺 The company will launch its 5th Marathi edition in Sholapur in March, 2012. Bihar
edition launch slated for FY13.
􀁺 DB Corp earns Rs5-6 mn per month from Ujjain edition.
􀁺 The company is present mainly in markets where the per capita income is above the
national average.
􀁺 With Phase-III, the company may add 25-30 radio stations with a spend of ~Rs400-
500mn.
Den Networks
􀁺 The company has started Ad campaigns on TV and Print to make viewers aware of the
digitisation mandate and market its digital STBs.
􀁺 The company has started offering its STBs at Rs799.
􀁺 To enable smooth implementation of migrating their analog subscribers to digital in
phase I, the company has placed an order for 2mn STBs with Skyworth and Huawei for
which it needs a capex of ~Rs3bn.
􀁺 The company will venture into offering broadband services post the digital roll-out.

Telecom: TRAI issues consultation paper on spectrum auction ::Kotak Securities, PDF link


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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily09032012.pdf

Telecom
India
TRAI issues consultation paper on spectrum auction. In the run-up to the spectrum
auctions, necessitated by a Feb 2, 2012 SC judgment, TRAI released a consultation
paper inviting industry comments on modalities of the auction and other pertinent
issues. Even as this document is not the final recommendation, it does touch on various
spectrum-related issues including the all-important pricing and reforming, and a new
one in spectrum liberalization. We also note an increased sense of balance and longterm thinking on spectrum management in the consultation paper.

MACRO & MARKETS Diminishing returns from global liquidity ::Edelweiss

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Ample liquidity was on the offer by global central banks in February with
BoJ, BoE, and ECB announcing QE programs. The much awaited second
tranche of ECB’s LTRO met with tremendous response from EU banks but
global markets were muted as asset prices had run‐up in anticipation.
Meanwhile, the domestic growth faltered in Q3FY12 although recent
sequential trends in IIP, exports and PMI suggest that economy is
gradually emerging from extremely weak phase of May‐Oct 2011. On
monetary side, unusually high liquidity deficit is a reflection of weak
reserve money growth and CRR cut is becoming a certainty. On the
valuations front, Indian markets are trading at fair levels, with downgrade
cycle bottoming out.
Global economy: Outburst of liquidity
February saw major central banks‐ BoE, BoJ and ECB ‐announcing quantitative easing
programs. The much awaited second tranche of ECB’s LTRO saw 800 banks tapping
~EUR529bn of 3‐year funds. While LTRO has certainly helped boost liquidity and has
taken the immediate tail risks off the table, it has not made any material
improvement in the real economy. Also, we believe that LTRO‐2 will have a
diminishing impact given the sharp increase in asset prices in the run‐up to the event.
Indian economy: Growth slows down
GDP growth slowed to ~6.1% YoY in Q3FY12 (against 6.9% in Q2FY12), led by very weak
investment activity. However, sequential momentum in high frequency indicators – IIP,
PMI, exports suggests that economic activity may be picking up gradually, although
nature of the uptick in economic activity will much depend on the fiscal consolidation in
FY13, pace of reversal in monetary policy and progress on the policy front.
Liquidity: Deficit at elevated levels
Throughout February, LAF borrowing remained at elevated levels before hitting all time
high of INR1,900bn at one point. We think the primary reason for liquidity shortfall has
been the very slow growth in reserve money, partly reflecting sizeable FX intervention
by RBI to check INR fall. Liquidity conditions have eased in last couple of days but
pressure is likely to persist, particularly with advance tax outflows coming in next
couple of weeks. Accordingly, CRR cut is becoming a certainty.
Valuations: At fair levels, downgrades decelerate
After a scorching January, Indian markets took a breather in February. Net foreign
inflows came in at USD7.1bn‐ the strongest ever on record for the first two months in a
year. Valuations, meanwhile continue to trade at fair levels, both on absolute and
relative basis. Earnings downgrade cycle seems to be stabilizing with just a little over
1% cut in Sensex EPS estimates in CY12 so far.

Property: Gurgaon broker speak ::Kotak Securities, PDF link


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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily09032012.pdf


Property
India
Gurgaon broker speak. Key takeaways: (1) DLF continues to be the clear leader in
terms of brand perception, (2) UT’s brand has suffered due to slow execution (slow
pace of activity is evident as there are few workers on their sites). Brokers are avoiding
recommending the company’s projects to clients, and (3) Sobha has received muted
response as the brand is unknown in NCR and supporting infrastructure (expressway)
needs to be commissioned before sales can pick up.


Union Budget, 2012-13: Credible roadmap for fiscal consolidation awaited :: ICRA

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The Union Budget for 2012-13 is to be presented on March 16, 2012 in the midst of deteriorating Government finances as well as a challenging domestic macroeconomic environment. While economic growth, investment spending and business confidence have weakened during 2011-12, interest rates remain high and concerns regarding inflationary pressures are yet to be eliminated. Recently, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) indicated that it may be constrained from lowering the policy rate to respond to the slowing economic growth in the absence of credible fiscal consolidation. This has heightened the expectations from the Union Budget for 2012-13 to provide a realistic roadmap for fiscal correction, through a combination of augmenting tax revenues and restricting the growth of revenue expenditure (particularly subsidies). At the same time, it is expected that the Budget may increase outlays and announce policy measures to boost infrastructure spending, which would ease supply constraints and raise the potential growth rate of the Indian economy.
The Budget for 2011-12 set an ambitious target to rein in the fiscal deficit to 4.6% of GDP in 2011-12 from 4.8% of GDP in 2010-11 (according to Provisional Accounts), despite the expected decline in non-tax revenues following the one-time inflow of funds from the telecom auctions held in 2010-11. However, the fiscal situation of Government of India (GoI) has displayed considerable signs of stress in the current fiscal year, on account of factors such as a slower than anticipated economic growth, unfavourable equity market conditions and a widening of fuel subsidies.

Bharti Airtel: MTN CY2011 annual results - read-through for Bharti ::Kotak Securities, PDF link


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http://www.kotaksecurities.com/pdf/indiadaily/indiadaily09032012.pdf

Bharti Airtel (BHARTI)
Telecom
MTN CY2011 annual results – read-through for Bharti. Even as Bharti has managed
to nibble away at MTN’s subs market share in 4 out of the 5 African markets where they
compete and grown faster off a much lower base, MTN remains on a solid footing and
the key threat to Bharti’s Africa targets. The key takeaway for us was MTN’s emphasis on
need for network quality improvement in both Nigeria and Ghana; its capex guidance for
the two markets for CY2012 (US$1.4 bn for Nigeria and US$146 mn for Ghana) also
reflects the same. We expect capex intensity for Bharti Africa to remain high.

ELSS investment & avail IT benefit u/s.80-C

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